BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 3A Class Rank: 1 Conference: (12-4) Overall: (19-8) Overall Strength =   97.50

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2012 Away    L   116.31  53  56   4A   1 (26- 0) Iowa City West         18.63    -21.63                      
  2 12/01/2012 Home    W    97.40  54  43   3A  11 ( 8-15) Dubuque Wahlert        -0.27     11.27                      
  3 12/07/2012 Home    W * 105.77  77  46   4A  41 ( 5-17) Davenport North         8.09     22.91                      
  4 12/11/2012 Away    L * 108.15  47  49   4A   2 (25- 1) Bettendorf             10.48    -12.48                      
  5 12/14/2012 Away    W * 113.50  72  36   4A  38 ( 7-15) Clinton                15.83     20.17                      
  6 12/15/2012 Away    L    97.67  60  61 1 ZZ  10 ( 1- 0) Rock Island IL         -0.00     -1.00                      
  7 12/22/2012 Home    W   105.51  67  53   4A  20 (11-12) Cedar Rapids Xavier     7.84      6.16                      
  8 01/04/2013 Home    W * 101.89  61  56   4A  13 (15- 7) Pleasant Valley         4.21      0.79                      
  9 01/08/2013 Away    W * 105.60  38  36   4A   9 (20- 4) Eldridge North Scott    7.93     -5.93                      
 10 01/11/2013 Home    W * 109.19  68  36   4A  36 ( 9-14) Davenport West         11.52     20.48                      
 11 01/12/2013 Home    W * 102.22  62  30   4A  45 ( 4-18) Muscatine               4.54 *   27.46  was 12/21 now 01/12 
 12 01/15/2013 Away    W   103.64  58  29   ZZ  55 ( 1- 1) Rock Island Alleman     5.97     23.03                      
 13 01/18/2013 Home    W * 104.04  72  47   4A  33 (11-12) Davenport Central       6.36     18.64                      
 14 01/22/2013 Away    W *  94.10  56  42   4A  34 ( 8-14) Burlington             -3.57     17.57                      
 15 01/25/2013 Away    W *  94.60  68  51   4A  41 ( 5-17) Davenport North        -3.08     20.08                      
 16 01/29/2013 Home    L *  89.32  45  63   4A   2 (25- 1) Bettendorf             -8.36     -9.64                      
 17 02/01/2013 Home    W *  78.67  53  49   4A  38 ( 7-15) Clinton               -19.01     23.01                      
 18 02/05/2013 Away    W * 108.05  74  39   4A  45 ( 4-18) Muscatine              10.37     24.63                      
 19 02/08/2013 Away    W * 103.72  56  52   4A  13 (15- 7) Pleasant Valley         6.04     -2.04                      
 20 02/12/2013 Home    L *  83.77  45  62   4A   9 (20- 4) Eldridge North Scott  -13.90     -3.10                      
 21 02/15/2013 Away    L *  78.03  50  52   4A  36 ( 9-14) Davenport West        -19.65     17.65                      
 22 02/18/2013 Home    W    94.09  62  43   3A  34 (10-12) Central Clinton        -3.58     22.58                      
 23 02/22/2013 Neutral W    97.82  67  57   3A  11 ( 8-15) Dubuque Wahlert         0.14      9.86  was 02/21 now 02/22 
 24 02/25/2013 Neutral W    82.69  51  47   3A  30 (12-12) Marion                -14.99     18.99                      
 25 03/05/2013 Neutral W    96.58  55  45   3A  13 (22- 3) Dallas Center-Grimes   -1.10     11.10                      
 26 03/07/2013 Neutral L    87.64  32  36   3A   4 (23- 4) Waverly-Shell Rock    -10.04      6.04                      
 27 03/09/2013 Neutral L    77.25  48  64   3A   2 (22- 5) MOC-Floyd Valley      -20.43      4.43                      
      Averages              97.67  57.4 47.4

Best game:  116.31 = 3 point loss to Iowa City West
Worst game:  77.25 = 16 point loss to MOC-Floyd Valley
Team stdev:  10.88